PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

cyfra

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$23.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate43.7%561 settled · past 90 days31 open · 65% underwater · 41 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$29.8M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded854Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+117.0% / $95% interval −315.9% to +549.8%24 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−30.3%n=10 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 43.7% · Decided 561 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete41 minutes ago
Current position value
$1.8K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$26.8K
Concentration
25.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
1,029
Showing the largest 8 of 1,029
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Lens win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
YesValue$450PnL+$156Avg0.2¢Current0.4¢128,660.32Shares
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?
YesValue$299PnL−$81Avg14.6¢Current11.5¢2,599.95Shares
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September?
YesValue$167PnL−$119Avg12.8¢Current7.5¢2,226.06Shares
Will Real Betis win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
YesValue$87PnL+$7Avg0.6¢Current0.7¢13,395.54Shares
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 21-27?
YesValue$76PnL+$8Avg5¢Current5.6¢1,358Shares
Will PSV Eindhoven win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
YesValue$75PnL−$25Avg0.2¢Current0.2¢50,000Shares
Will RB Leipzig win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
YesValue$71PnL+$10Avg0.3¢Current0.4¢20,223.95Shares
Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 in September?
YesValue$69PnL+$25Avg22¢Current34.5¢200Shares
Showing 8 of 1,029 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet cyfra: 43.7% win rate over 561 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +117.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −315.9%, n=24 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−30.3% over 10 fills); +$23.8K lifetime P&L, $29.8M traded, updated 2026-09-24.