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Trader profile

Heaterrr

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$20.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate64.2%3,474 settled · past 180 days1 open · 100% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$1.8M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded3,316Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−23.5% / $95% interval −294.1% to +247.0%84 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−23.5%n=84 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 64.2% · Decided 3,474 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$276
Snapshot cash PnL
−$3.6K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
8
All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Chengdu Open: Sebastian Baez vs Jenson Brooksby
Sebastian Baez · YesValue$276PnL−$424Avg43.2¢Current17¢1,620.61Shares
Korea Open: Taylah Preston vs Himeno Sakatsume
Himeno Sakatsume · NoValue$0PnL−$650Avg23¢Current0¢2,826.09Shares
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays
NoValue$0PnL−$425Avg59.8¢Current0¢711.05Shares
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets
NoValue$0PnL−$415Avg51¢Current0¢813.92Shares
Tolentino: Laura Samson vs Noemi Basiletti
Laura Samson · YesValue$0PnL−$251Avg39.7¢Current0¢632.2Shares
Buenos Aires 2: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Guido Justo
Gonzalo Villanueva · YesValue$0PnL−$448Avg41¢Current0¢1,092.69Shares
Houston vs. Texas Tech
Houston · YesValue$0PnL−$453Avg26¢Current0¢1,743.5Shares
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels
NoValue$0PnL−$500Avg54¢Current0¢925.93Shares
All 8 positions shown
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Heaterrr: 64.2% win rate over 3,474 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −23.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −294.1%, n=84 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−23.5% over 84 fills); −$20.7K lifetime P&L, $1.8M traded, updated 2026-09-23.