PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x4c07…6200

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$9.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet0 open · 21 hours ago
Lifetime volume$143.2K122 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded75Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+23.7% / $95% interval +3.7% to +43.7%45 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+20.0%n=42 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 8 hours ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$20.7K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
30
Showing the largest 8 of 30
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs
Invictus Gaming · NoValue$0PnL−$3.6KAvg56.2¢Current0¢6,466.69Shares
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals
EDward Gaming · YesValue$0PnL−$10Avg14¢Current0¢71.43Shares
Will MiniMax be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$1Avg0.2¢Current0¢552.94Shares
Will Tencent be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$1Avg6.9¢Current0¢14.49Shares
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
1win · NoValue$0PnL−$1Avg1¢Current0¢100Shares
Will ByteDance be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$1Avg0.4¢Current0¢249.09Shares
Falcons vs. Packers
Packers · NoValue$0PnL−$894Avg70¢Current0¢1,277.14Shares
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
LGD Gaming · YesValue$0PnL−$1.4KAvg63¢Current0¢2,282.54Shares
Showing 8 of 30 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x4c07bf46017ef52c0bea3fe4253185dec1316200: edge +23.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound +3.7%, n=45 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+20.0% over 42 fills); +$9.1K lifetime P&L, $143.2K traded, updated 2026-09-28.