PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

0x4bf8…7651

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$3.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet7 open · 100% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$370.5K751 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded91Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$404
Snapshot cash PnL
−$2.4K
Concentration
98.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
21
Showing the largest 8 of 21
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Trump out as President before 2027?
YesValue$397PnL−$553Avg10.8¢Current4.5¢8,816.82Shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
YesValue$7PnL−$7Avg7.2¢Current3.6¢185.87Shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$0.33PnL−$0.37Avg32.4¢Current15.3¢2.17Shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$0.21PnL−$0.26Avg16.5¢Current7.5¢2.88Shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$0.17PnL−$0.32Avg11.9¢Current4.1¢4.09Shares
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YesValue$0.07PnL−$0.10Avg1.7¢Current0.7¢10.37Shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
YesValue$0.01PnL−$0.77Avg15.6¢Current0.3¢5Shares
Trump out as President by July 31?
YesValue$0PnL−$165Avg0.9¢Current0¢18,953.74Shares
Showing 8 of 21 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x4bf8f9e4a7cf5450e8a41a2b4c7b765c3c0f7651: edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); −$3.7K lifetime P&L, $370.5K traded, updated 2026-09-27.