PolyTrace
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Trader profile

Malganis

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$7.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate71.6%1,511 settled · past 180 days59 open · 76% underwater · 1 hour ago
Lifetime volume$2.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded883Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+27.5% / $95% interval −319.2% to +374.2%28 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+38.8%n=23 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 8 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 71.6% · Decided 1,511 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 hour ago
Current position value
$15.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1.8K
Concentration
9.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
60
Showing the largest 8 of 60
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
NoValue$1.5KPnL−$299Avg82¢Current68¢2,138.31Shares
Iran leadership change by September 30?
NoValue$1.2KPnL+$3Avg99.5¢Current99.8¢1,248.97Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$1.1KPnL−$5Avg95.7¢Current95.3¢1,122.58Shares
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?
YesValue$1.1KPnL+$282Avg48.6¢Current66¢1,620.68Shares
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
NoValue$980PnL+$77Avg60.4¢Current65.5¢1,496.76Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?
YesValue$842PnL−$97Avg44¢Current39.5¢2,132.02Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$814PnL+$27Avg40.6¢Current42.1¢1,935.76Shares
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
YesValue$779PnL−$110Avg43.9¢Current38.5¢2,024.23Shares
Showing 8 of 60 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Malganis: 71.6% win rate over 1,511 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +27.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −319.2%, n=28 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+38.8% over 23 fills); +$7.8K lifetime P&L, $2.9M traded, updated 2026-09-28.