PolyTrace
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Trader profile

Vanquish

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate91.3%46 settled · past 90 days9 open · 99% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$1.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded280Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+0.4% / $95% interval −33.7% to +34.5%35 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−0.5%n=27 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 91.3% · Decided 46 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$31K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$12.4K
Concentration
54.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
9
Showing the largest 8 of 9
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?
NoValue$16.8KPnL−$78Avg97¢Current96.6¢17,390.51Shares
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
YesValue$3.8KPnL−$12.3KAvg88.2¢Current21¢18,296.06Shares
Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$3.6KPnL+$132Avg94.1¢Current97.7¢3,726.13Shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?
NoValue$2.9KPnL−$17Avg97.5¢Current97¢3,028.29Shares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
NoValue$1.4KPnL+$41Avg95.7¢Current98.6¢1,439.71Shares
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?
YesValue$1.3KPnL−$192Avg90.1¢Current78.6¢1,688.16Shares
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?
NoValue$864PnL+$9Avg97.2¢Current98.3¢879.18Shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YesValue$176PnL+$0.95Avg92¢Current92.5¢189.82Shares
Showing 8 of 9 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Vanquish: 91.3% win rate over 46 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +0.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −33.7%, n=35 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−0.5% over 27 fills); −$2K lifetime P&L, $1.4M traded, updated 2026-09-22.