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Trader profile

Skaliz

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$15.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…30 open · 39% underwater · 5 hours ago
Lifetime volume$3.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,440Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+3.9% / $95% interval −68.6% to +76.4%10 settled fills · 90d window

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 8 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded5 hours ago
Current position value
$11.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$142.3K
Concentration
15.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
343
Showing the largest 8 of 343
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
YesValue$1.7KPnL+$70Avg12¢Current12.5¢13,999.57Shares
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?
NoValue$1KPnL+$376Avg62.5¢Current98.5¢1,045Shares
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$1,000PnL+$5Avg99.4¢Current100¢1,000Shares
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?
NoValue$930PnL+$20Avg91.1¢Current93.1¢999.99Shares
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027?
NoValue$910PnL+$3Avg97¢Current97.3¢934.88Shares
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?
NoValue$870PnL+$33Avg93.8¢Current97.5¢892.34Shares
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?
NoValue$865PnL−$1Avg90.1¢Current90¢961.15Shares
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% in September?
NoValue$627PnL+$0.25Avg99.6¢Current99.7¢628.8Shares
Showing 8 of 343 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Skaliz: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge +3.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −68.6%, n=10 settled fills over 90 days); +$15.9K lifetime P&L, $3.5M traded, updated 2026-09-28.