PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

kakutani

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$9.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate38.1%21 settled · past 180 days0 open · 7 days ago
Lifetime volume$187.7K438 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded31Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−10.4% / $95% interval −206.0% to +185.2%25 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−10.4%n=25 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 8 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 38.1% · Decided 21 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded10 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$10.4K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
12
Showing the largest 8 of 12
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?
YesValue$0PnL−$1KAvg51¢Current0¢1,960.78Shares
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Novak Djokovic
Roman Safiullin · YesValue$0PnL−$100Avg3.9¢Current0¢2,536.23Shares
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?
YesValue$0PnL−$3.9KAvg58.5¢Current0¢6,735.1Shares
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?
YesValue$0PnL−$1KAvg39¢Current0¢2,564.1Shares
Will Trump nominate Robert Lighthizer for Treasury Secretary?
YesValue$0PnL−$5Avg1¢Current0¢500Shares
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev · NoValue$0PnL−$100Avg12¢Current0¢833.5Shares
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?
NoValue$0PnL−$446Avg12.3¢Current0¢3,615Shares
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
YesValue$0PnL−$600Avg12¢Current0¢4,999.99Shares
Showing 8 of 12 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet kakutani: 38.1% win rate over 21 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −10.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −206.0%, n=25 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−10.4% over 25 fills); −$9.9K lifetime P&L, $187.7K traded, updated 2026-09-28.