PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x4b40…96e3

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$1.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate42.5%2,095 settled · past 180 days6 open · 40% underwater · 4 days ago
Lifetime volume$289.4K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,984Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 42.5% · Decided 2,095 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$403
Snapshot cash PnL
−$262
Concentration
90.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
29
Showing the largest 8 of 29
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?
NoValue$364PnL+$44Avg83.8¢Current95.5¢380.74Shares
Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?
YesValue$15PnL−$29Avg11.7¢Current3.9¢373.88Shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YesValue$14PnL+$2Avg80¢Current92.5¢15Shares
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$9PnL+$1Avg80¢Current92.5¢10Shares
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?
NoValue$0.98PnL−$1Avg14.8¢Current6.5¢15.01Shares
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?
YesValue$0.55PnL−$1Avg16¢Current5.5¢10Shares
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5
OverValue$0PnL−$25Avg84.2¢Current0¢29.52Shares
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $181 Week of August 24 2026?
NoValue$0PnL−$26Avg33.2¢Current0¢77Shares
Showing 8 of 29 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

No whale trades recorded for this wallet in the tracked window.

About this wallet

Wallet 0x4b40e8402f72d67f94ab7cc0a50521bb824f96e3: 42.5% win rate over 2,095 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); −$1.2K lifetime P&L, $289.4K traded, updated 2026-09-27.