Trader profile

0x4b1f…49e6

Market makers

Profile updated2026-09-28

Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗

Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$25.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime

Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…0 open · 11 hours ago

Lifetime volume$203.7K132 trades · Polymarket

Markets traded64Lifetime coverage

Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

+5.1% / $95% interval −487.3% to +497.5%12 settled fills · 90d window

Sports: +5.1%n=12 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 7 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Current holdings

Sources

Holdings use the current Polymarket portfolio snapshot.

Last loaded11 hours ago

Current position value: $0
Snapshot cash PnL: −$38.2K
Concentration: —
Positions: 17

EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares

UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)

Steve Garcia · YesValue$0PnL−$3Avg43¢Current0¢6.44Shares

UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

Zhang Mingyang · NoValue$0PnL−$1KAvg69¢Current0¢1,487.78Shares

UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card)

Chris DuncanValue$0PnL−$1.1KAvg56.7¢Current0¢1,963.73Shares

UFC Fight Night: Nazim Sadykhov vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)

Nazim Sadykhov · YesValue$0PnL−$4KAvg66¢Current0¢6,102.92Shares

Knicks vs. Spurs

Spurs · NoValue$0PnL−$210Avg46.7¢Current0¢450Shares

UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims)

Bruno Silva · YesValue$0PnL−$2Avg52¢Current0¢3.46Shares

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Khamzat Chimaev · NoValue$0PnL−$5KAvg83¢Current0¢6,049.29Shares

Spurs vs. Knicks

Spurs · YesValue$0PnL−$937Avg89¢Current0¢1,052.81Shares

Showing 8 of 17 positions by current value

Results by category

Sources

Category results use decided positions from the last 90 days.

Results

Exposure

Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

8 days ago

SELLNO

Patricio Pitbull vs. Dooho Choi · 69¢

UFC 331: Patricio Pitbull vs. Dooho Choi (Featherweight, Main Card)Open market →$1.6K

9 days ago

BUYYES

Michael Aswell vs. JooSang Yoo · 89.7¢

UFC 331: Michael Aswell vs. JooSang Yoo (Featherweight, Prelims)Open market →$1.9K

Open

15 days ago

SELLYES

Garcia vs. Benn · 71¢

Zuffa Boxing: Garcia vs. Benn (Welterweight, Main)Open market →$1K

16 days ago

BUYNO

Alexa Grasso vs. Manon Fiorot · 71¢

Noche UFC: Alexa Grasso vs. Manon Fiorot (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)Open market →$1.1K

1 month ago

SELLYES

Serghei Spivac vs. Vitor Petrino · 42¢

UFC Fight Night: Serghei Spivac vs. Vitor Petrino (Heavyweight, Main Card)Open market →$1.7K

About this wallet

Wallet 0x4b1fd3e771d8a49f6b3eae4e6000432d32dc49e6: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge +5.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −487.3%, n=12 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+5.1% over 12 fills); −$25.6K lifetime P&L, $203.7K traded, updated 2026-09-28.