PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

roll47

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$410.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate41.4%58 settled · past 180 days0 open · 18 days ago
Lifetime volume$4.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded56Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−18.5% / $95% interval −56.2% to +19.1%42 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−18.5%n=42 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 7 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 41.4% · Decided 58 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded11 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$648.1K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
27
Showing the largest 8 of 27
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs SportsBetExpert (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffs
Chicken Coop Esports · YesValue$0PnL−$16Avg15¢Current0¢108Shares
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Game 2 Winner
DetonatioN FocusMe · NoValue$0PnL−$31.1KAvg78.4¢Current0¢39,601.5Shares
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner
Nongshim Red Force · YesValue$0PnL−$0.06Avg25¢Current0¢0.22Shares
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Shifters - Game 1 Winner
Movistar KOI · YesValue$0PnL−$20.8KAvg36.8¢Current0¢56,576.98Shares
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs
FaZe · YesValue$0PnL−$83.4KAvg52.7¢Current0¢158,212.89Shares
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Pcific Esports - Map 1 Winner
Pcific Esports · NoValue$0PnL−$898Avg26.9¢Current0¢3,338.04Shares
LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner
Shopify RebellionValue$0PnL−$34.5KAvg35.9¢Current0¢95,855.6Shares
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner
Hanwha Life Esports · YesValue$0PnL−$35KAvg50.8¢Current0¢68,869.25Shares
Showing 8 of 27 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet roll47: 41.4% win rate over 58 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −18.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −56.2%, n=42 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−18.5% over 42 fills); −$410.4K lifetime P&L, $4.6M traded, updated 2026-09-28.