PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

RadishandDragon

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$32.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate73.8%122 settled · past 90 days0 open · 4 days ago
Lifetime volume$873K275 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded124Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−12.9% / $95% interval −373.8% to +348.0%29 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−10.9%n=28 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 6 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 73.8% · Decided 122 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded12 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$75.3K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
23
Showing the largest 8 of 23
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Game Handicap: TES (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)
Top Esports · YesValue$0PnL−$8KAvg59.4¢Current0¢13,467.06Shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
NoValue$0PnL−$7.6KAvg92.7¢Current0¢8,164.52Shares
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner
Top Esports · NoValue$0PnL−$1.8KAvg79¢Current0¢2,341.3Shares
LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere - Game 4 Winner
Natus Vincere · NoValue$0PnL−$601Avg57.8¢Current0¢1,040.67Shares
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+1.5)
Top Esports · YesValue$0PnL−$8KAvg48¢Current0¢16,666.67Shares
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
Invictus Gaming · YesValue$0PnL−$2KAvg45.7¢Current0¢4,374.28Shares
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
T1 · NoValue$0PnL−$3.9KAvg83.9¢Current0¢4,587Shares
Valorant: Cloud9 vs BESTIA (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In
Cloud9 · YesValue$0PnL−$264Avg77¢Current0¢342.7Shares
Showing 8 of 23 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet RadishandDragon: 73.8% win rate over 122 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −12.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −373.8%, n=29 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−10.9% over 28 fills); −$32.5K lifetime P&L, $873K traded, updated 2026-09-28.