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Trader profile

Jarod21

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$19.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate55.7%2,509 settled · past 90 days6 open · 64% underwater · 40 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$2.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded3,427Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−27.8% / $95% interval −51.4% to −4.3%77 settled fills · 90d window
Unmapped
−23.7%n=10 settled
Sports
−24.0%n=67 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 6 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 55.7% · Decided 2,509 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete40 minutes ago
Current position value
$1.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$576.6K
Concentration
37.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
1,520
Showing the largest 8 of 1,520
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
magic · YesValue$457PnL−$150Avg48.5¢Current36.5¢1,252.79Shares
Nuclear TigeRES · NoValue$273PnL−$5Avg51¢Current50¢545.85Shares
Fiona Crawley · NoValue$240PnL+$82Avg51¢Current77.5¢310Shares
Walczaki · NoValue$150PnL+$38Avg37.3¢Current50¢300.95Shares
NoValue$75PnL+$5Avg61.9¢Current66.5¢113.05Shares
Mai Hontama · NoValue$6PnL+$0.38Avg94¢Current100¢6.37Shares
Leolia Jeanjean · YesValue$6PnL−$0.39Avg56¢Current52.5¢11Shares
Noma Noha Akugue · YesValue$2PnL−$3Avg52¢Current22.5¢11Shares
Showing 8 of 1,520 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Jarod21: 55.7% win rate over 2,509 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −27.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −51.4%, n=77 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−24.0% over 67 fills); +$19.1K lifetime P&L, $2.9M traded, updated 2026-09-28.