PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x49F206

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$50.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…510 open · 58% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$8.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,312Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+28.3% / $95% interval −27.3% to +83.9%105 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+16.1%n=98 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$46.8K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$54.6K
Concentration
8.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
721
Showing the largest 8 of 721
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
NoValue$3.9KPnL+$74Avg77¢Current78.5¢5,000.03Shares
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$3.9KPnL+$27Avg66¢Current66.5¢5,863.12Shares
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
NoValue$3KPnL+$345Avg64.1¢Current72.5¢4,134.18Shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
YesValue$2.7KPnL+$1.9KAvg7.5¢Current27¢9,945Shares
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
NoValue$1.4KPnL−$76Avg85¢Current80.5¢1,697.32Shares
Will Shaun Deeb win the 2026 WSOP Player of the Year?
NoValue$1.3KPnL+$215Avg57.7¢Current68.9¢1,915.14Shares
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$978PnL+$16Avg91¢Current92.5¢1,057.27Shares
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?
NoValue$948PnL−$747Avg28.2¢Current15.8¢6,020Shares
Showing 8 of 721 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x49F206: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge +28.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −27.3%, n=105 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+16.1% over 98 fills); −$50.3K lifetime P&L, $8.9M traded, updated 2026-09-22.