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Trader profile

MoonLambo1205

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$48KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate64.6%113 settled · past 180 days5 open · 13% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$2.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded140Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−15.0% / $95% interval −255.8% to +225.8%150 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−6.5%n=31 settled
Politics
−10.6%n=86 settled
Finance
−26.4%n=22 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 5 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 64.6% · Decided 113 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$104.7K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$125.9K
Concentration
37.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
34
Showing the largest 8 of 34
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
NoValue$39.2KPnL+$796Avg97.6¢Current99.6¢39,314.18Shares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
NoValue$28.7KPnL+$970Avg95.7¢Current99.1¢28,984.5Shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
YesValue$20KPnL+$1.2KAvg94¢Current99.8¢20,076.69Shares
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?
NoValue$10.4KPnL+$15Avg95.8¢Current95.9¢10,844.41Shares
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
NoValue$6.4KPnL−$445Avg89.3¢Current83.5¢7,679.49Shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$0PnL−$22.9KAvg89.5¢Current0¢25,593.16Shares
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
NoValue$0PnL−$980Avg49¢Current0¢2,000Shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
YesValue$0PnL−$4.5KAvg27.3¢Current0¢16,449.8Shares
Showing 8 of 34 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet MoonLambo1205: 64.6% win rate over 113 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −15.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −255.8%, n=150 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−6.5% over 31 fills); −$48K lifetime P&L, $2.2M traded, updated 2026-09-26.