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Trader profile

macao.weather

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$10.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet19 open · 42% underwater · 10 hours ago
Lifetime volume$599.2K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded828Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded10 hours ago
Current position value
$1K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$38
Concentration
24.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
19
Showing the largest 8 of 19
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 29?
YesValue$261PnL+$70Avg45.6¢Current62.5¢416.91Shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 28?
YesValue$214PnL+$29Avg41.2¢Current47.5¢449.94Shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 28?
YesValue$143PnL+$31Avg33.6¢Current43¢332.63Shares
Will Hong Kong have less than 275mm of precipitation in September?
YesValue$138PnL+$0.38Avg98.1¢Current98.4¢140Shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 28?
YesValue$137PnL−$4Avg60.4¢Current58.5¢233.52Shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 29?
YesValue$56PnL+$5Avg41¢Current45¢124Shares
Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?
YesValue$46PnL+$4Avg69.3¢Current76¢61Shares
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?
YesValue$19PnL+$0.48Avg93¢Current95.4¢20Shares
Showing 8 of 19 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet macao.weather: edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); +$10.4K lifetime P&L, $599.2K traded, updated 2026-09-28.