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Trader profile

justbusiness1

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$106.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate52.2%452 settled · past 90 days2 open · 99% underwater · 11 hours ago
Lifetime volume$14.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded373Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+0.5% / $95% interval −6.8% to +7.7%760 settled fills · 90d window
Unmapped
+5.5%n=10 settled
Sports
+0.3%n=750 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 5 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 52.2% · Decided 452 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded11 hours ago
Current position value
$4.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1.7M
Concentration
98.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
236
Showing the largest 8 of 236
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$4.1KPnL−$1.1KAvg49.7¢Current39¢10,588.96Shares
NoValue$66PnL+$12Avg50¢Current61¢108.34Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$2.7KAvg43.6¢Current6,288.07Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$16.6KAvg58.4¢Current28,435.34Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$21.9KAvg55.5¢Current39,525.48Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$5.1KAvg51¢Current10,006.9Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$8.3KAvg53.7¢Current15,356.67Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$1.1KAvg64.8¢Current1,647.94Shares
Showing 8 of 236 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet justbusiness1: 52.2% win rate over 452 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +0.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −6.8%, n=760 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+0.3% over 750 fills); −$106.9K lifetime P&L, $14.6M traded, updated 2026-09-23.