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Trader profile

Xavwv

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet9 open · 90% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$521.6K384 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded97Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−46.6% / $95% interval −618.1% to +524.9%15 settled fills · 90d window

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 8 hours ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$1.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$2.9K
Concentration
37.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
38
Showing the largest 8 of 38
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September?
NoValue$480PnL+$80Avg79.8¢Current95.8¢501.25Shares
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25?
YesValue$396PnL+$72Avg81¢Current99¢400Shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$207PnL−$16Avg0.8¢Current0.8¢27,539.47Shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?
YesValue$76PnL−$155Avg54.9¢Current18¢421Shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?
YesValue$71PnL−$378Avg47.3¢Current7.5¢950Shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?
YesValue$25PnL−$95Avg7¢Current1.5¢1,714.29Shares
Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
YesValue$12PnL−$5Avg1.6¢Current1.2¢1,076.13Shares
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?
YesValue$12PnL−$21Avg15.9¢Current5.8¢210Shares
Showing 8 of 38 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Xavwv: edge −46.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −618.1%, n=15 settled fills over 90 days); +$1K lifetime P&L, $521.6K traded, updated 2026-09-22.