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Trader profile

machiavelia

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$82.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate49.1%1,260 settled · past 180 days10 open · 0% underwater · 3 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,331Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 49.1% · Decided 1,260 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 hours ago
Current position value
$6K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$3.5K
Concentration
31.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
10
Showing the largest 8 of 10
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
NoValue$1.9KPnL+$1.3KAvg31.1¢Current96.8¢1,928Shares
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
NoValue$1.3KPnL+$728Avg44.3¢Current98.1¢1,354Shares
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
NoValue$908PnL+$508Avg43.1¢Current97.9¢928Shares
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?
NoValue$862PnL+$462Avg43.1¢Current92.9¢928Shares
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
NoValue$398PnL+$220Avg41¢Current91.5¢435.31Shares
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
NoValue$353PnL+$193Avg44.1¢Current97.6¢362Shares
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?
NoValue$170PnL+$96Avg42.1¢Current97.5¢174.17Shares
Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027?
NoValue$68PnL+$39Avg42¢Current97¢70.1Shares
Showing 8 of 10 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet machiavelia: 49.1% win rate over 1,260 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); +$82.6K lifetime P&L, $1.4M traded, updated 2026-09-28.