SELLNO96.8¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?Open market trace →$9.7K← Back to traders
0x485a…21cb
0x485a2e9ad89d9109bb4d37b925ba60f6350421cb
0x485a2e9ad89d9109bb4d37b925ba60f6350421cb Polymarket wallet: −$188.4K PnL · $10.6M volume. Whale trades · updated 2026-08-01 on PolyTrace.
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Lifetime PnL−$188.4K
Win rate—only 15 settled so far
Lifetime volume$10.6M1,000+ trades · via Polymarket
Realized PnL−$153.5Kopen PnL −$34.8K
Markets traded56lifetime
Decision summary
Loss-making and active.
Lifetime PnL is −$188.4K and too few positions have settled to judge a hit rate yet. 4 whale trades in the last 24 hours.
Whale activity · 30 days
Tracked trades ≥$1,000. Empty days keep their space so activity does not jump.
Open positions
Visible whale-sized legs (≥$1k, 90d) on open markets — sizes are floors, not the wallet's whole book.
No visible open positions — exited, resolved, or entered below the whale threshold.
Recent capital traces
What this wallet did, with direction and market context kept together.
SELLNOAugust 31 · 95.8¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Open market trace →$1.4KSELLNOAugust 31 · 95.9¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Open market trace →$4.8KSELLNOSeptember 30 · 93¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Open market trace →$1.5KBUYYESYes · 6¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Open market trace →$6.3KSELLNO81¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Open market trace →$1.6KBUYYES19¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Open market trace →$4.1KSELLNOIsrael · 95.6¢
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Open market trace →$18.2KSELLNOJune 30 · 92¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Open market trace →$1.8KSELLNO96.9¢
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Open market trace →$3.9KSELLNO86¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Open market trace →$1.3KSELLNOJune 30 · 88¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Open market trace →$2.5KSELLNO94¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Open market trace →$5.6KProfile last updated 1d ago.