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Trader profile

Winry

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$30.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate46.9%444 settled · past 180 days17 open · 78% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$257.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded49Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−48.5% / $95% interval −223.0% to +126.0%191 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−48.5%n=191 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 3 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 46.9% · Decided 444 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$10.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1.1K
Concentration
70.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
29
Showing the largest 8 of 29
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$7.2KPnL−$609Avg90.9¢Current83.8¢8,562.58Shares
YesValue$948PnL+$0.99Avg86.1¢Current86.2¢1,100.94Shares
NoValue$535PnL+$88Avg80.6¢Current96.5¢554.52Shares
NoValue$459PnL+$48Avg88.8¢Current99.2¢463Shares
NoValue$405PnL+$5Avg86.9¢Current88¢460Shares
NoValue$350PnL+$56Avg60.4¢Current72¢485.65Shares
YesValue$162PnL+$13Avg41¢Current44.5¢364.57Shares
YesValue$35PnL+$2Avg23¢Current24.5¢142.27Shares
Showing 8 of 29 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Winry: 46.9% win rate over 444 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −48.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −223.0%, n=191 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−48.5% over 191 fills); +$30.9K lifetime P&L, $257.2M traded, updated 2026-09-26.