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Trader profile

bosshog

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$219.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate66%144 settled · past 90 days67 open · 29% underwater · 2 hours ago
Lifetime volume$27.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded447Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−7.5% / $95% interval −231.0% to +215.9%114 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+1.0%n=15 settled
Finance
−3.0%n=39 settled
Politics
−9.0%n=49 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 7 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 66% · Decided 144 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 hours ago
Current position value
$243.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$33K
Concentration
28.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
130
Showing the largest 8 of 130
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
NoValue$68.6KPnL+$3.1KAvg93.6¢Current98¢70,000.19Shares
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
NoValue$26.1KPnL+$2.7KAvg84.7¢Current94.5¢27,586.87Shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
NoValue$20.1KPnL+$339Avg97.7¢Current99.4¢20,247.1Shares
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
NoValue$17KPnL+$332Avg93.7¢Current95.6¢17,745.2Shares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
YesValue$16.8KPnL+$1.5KAvg87.5¢Current96.3¢17,500.5Shares
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
YesValue$13.3KPnL+$3.4KAvg71.1¢Current95.4¢13,937.23Shares
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
YesValue$10.1KPnL−$667Avg52.3¢Current49¢20,523.52Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
NoValue$9.1KPnL+$201Avg91.4¢Current93.5¢9,783.53Shares
Showing 8 of 130 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet bosshog: 66% win rate over 144 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −7.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −231.0%, n=114 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+1.0% over 15 fills); +$219.7K lifetime P&L, $27.7M traded, updated 2026-09-24.