PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x479e…91c3

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$31.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate70.8%1,045 settled · past 180 days2 open · 100% underwater · 4 hours ago
Lifetime volume$9.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,356Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
0.0% / $95% interval −58.7% to +58.8%306 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+0.1%n=302 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 70.8% · Decided 1,045 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 hours ago
Current position value
$3.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$784.5K
Concentration
50.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
197
Showing the largest 8 of 197
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Hangzhou Open: Dane Sweeny vs Taro Daniel
Taro Daniel · NoValue$2KPnL−$17Avg58¢Current57.5¢3,448.28Shares
San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Sebastian Gorzny
Tristan Boyer · YesValue$1.9KPnL−$87Avg62.2¢Current59.5¢3,215.61Shares
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)
Lakers · YesValue$0PnL−$5KAvg62.9¢Current0¢7,951.94Shares
Estoril Open: Alexander Blockx vs Luciano Darderi
Luciano Darderi · NoValue$0PnL−$4KAvg63.7¢Current0¢6,275.95Shares
Korea Open: Darya Astakhova vs Magda Linette
Magda Linette · NoValue$0PnL−$2KAvg76¢Current0¢2,630.25Shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
YesValue$0PnL−$1.5KAvg62.1¢Current0¢2,388.04Shares
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5
UnderValue$0PnL−$1.5KAvg62.9¢Current0¢2,369.08Shares
Mexico vs. England: Draw at halftime?
YesValue$0PnL−$1.5KAvg54¢Current0¢2,777.78Shares
Showing 8 of 197 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x479e330b07822ee28e20bac5e504f1b7c6b591c3: 70.8% win rate over 1,045 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge 0.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −58.7%, n=306 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+0.1% over 302 fills); −$31.2K lifetime P&L, $9.4M traded, updated 2026-09-24.