BUYNOAugust 31 · 96¢
Iran leadership change by...?Open market trace →$2.5K← Back to traders
Manzana698
0x4727000d08134c20086b078d20256a3363d25aa5
Manzana698 (0x4727000d08134c20086b078d20256a3363d25aa5) Polymarket wallet: −$31 PnL · $146.9K volume · 62% win rate. Whale trades · updated 2026-08-01 on PolyTrace.
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Lifetime PnL−$31
Win rate62.2%37 settled positions, last 180 days
Lifetime volume$146.9K112 trades · via Polymarket
Realized PnL+$1.3Kopen PnL −$1.4K
Markets traded49lifetime
PolyTrace Score41 / 100
Profitability0weight 35%
Skill45weight 30%
Breadth63weight 20%
Recency100weight 15%
Decision summary
Loss-making and active.
Lifetime PnL is −$31 and 62.2% of 37 positions settled in profit over the last 180 days. 1 whale trade in the last 24 hours.
Whale activity · 30 days
Tracked trades ≥$1,000. Empty days keep their space so activity does not jump.
Open positions
Visible whale-sized legs (≥$1k, 90d) on open markets — sizes are floors, not the wallet's whole book.
No visible open positions — exited, resolved, or entered below the whale threshold.
Recent capital traces
What this wallet did, with direction and market context kept together.
SELLNOAugust 18 · 98.2¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Open market trace →$1.6KBUYNOAugust 18 · 90¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?Open market trace →$1.5KBUYNOAugust 31 · 91.6¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?Open market trace →$1KSELLNOJuly 15 · 97.4¢
Israel Closes Its Airspace ByOpen market trace →$1KBUYNOJuly 15 · 97.9¢
Israel Closes Its Airspace ByOpen market trace →$1KSELLNOSeptember 30 · 76.1¢
Russia X Ukraine Peace Talks Byptptpt 20260609012540716Open market trace →$1KBUYYES40+ · 92.2¢
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?Open market trace →$2.1KBUYNO94.5¢
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Open market trace →$1.5KSELLNOMay 15 · 91.8¢
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?Open market trace →$1.3KProfile last updated 19h ago.