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Trader profile

asdf8888

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$27.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate9.4%192 settled · past 90 days27 open · 86% underwater · 20 hours ago
Lifetime volume$6.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded247Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+50.3% / $95% interval −232.3% to +332.9%92 settled fills · 90d window
Crypto
+38.6%n=77 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 49 minutes ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 9.4% · Decided 192 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded20 hours ago
Current position value
$7.5K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$66.9K
Concentration
33.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
230
Showing the largest 8 of 230
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$2.5KPnL−$822Avg0.2¢Current0.2¢1,646,341.45Shares
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
YesValue$1.3KPnL−$272Avg12.8¢Current10.5¢11,930Shares
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$1.2KPnL−$99Avg3.1¢Current2.9¢40,820Shares
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$621PnL−$69Avg0.5¢Current0.5¢137,900Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
YesValue$527PnL+$16Avg11.6¢Current12¢4,394Shares
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$397PnL+$338Avg0.2¢Current1.4¢29,400Shares
Iran Nuke before 2027?
YesValue$321PnL−$87Avg5.5¢Current4.3¢7,474.15Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
YesValue$128PnL−$639Avg2.1¢Current0.4¢36,679.1Shares
Showing 8 of 230 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet asdf8888: 9.4% win rate over 192 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +50.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −232.3%, n=92 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Crypto (+38.6% over 77 fills); −$27.4K lifetime P&L, $6.9M traded, updated 2026-09-27.