PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x468a…c764

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$25.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet0 open · 28 days ago
Lifetime volume$986.1K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded269Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−8.7% / $95% interval −257.7% to +240.2%40 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−8.7%n=40 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 6 minutes ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$29.2K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
8
All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Liege: Francesco Forti vs Jack Loge
Francesco Forti · YesValue$0PnL−$4KAvg66¢Current0¢5,986.66Shares
Liege: Sandro Kopp vs Manoj Dhamne Manas
Sandro Kopp · YesValue$0PnL−$4.9KAvg65¢Current0¢7,499.98Shares
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner
Misa Esports · YesValue$0PnL−$26Avg36¢Current0¢71Shares
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers · NoValue$0PnL−$1.2KAvg76¢Current0¢1,565Shares
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?
YesValue$0PnL−$8.2KAvg84¢Current0¢9,800Shares
Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay Rays · NoValue$0PnL−$4.9KAvg52¢Current0¢9,473.76Shares
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Toby Samuel vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
Thiago Agustin Tirante · NoValue$0PnL−$5.9KAvg28¢Current0¢21,209.57Shares
New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempo
New York Liberty · YesValue$0PnL−$19Avg23¢Current0¢84.3Shares
All 8 positions shown
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x468a82d66f3feea1b7571387228c8d17fda7c764: edge −8.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −257.7%, n=40 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−8.7% over 40 fills); −$25.5K lifetime P&L, $986.1K traded, updated 2026-09-28.