PolyTrace
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Trader profile

papuas

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$202.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate33.7%751 settled · past 90 days0 open · 7 days ago
Lifetime volume$9.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,017Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+3.9% / $95% interval −74.5% to +82.3%294 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+3.9%n=294 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 33.7% · Decided 751 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded20 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$471.1K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
112
Showing the largest 8 of 112
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winner
PuckChamp · YesValue$0PnL−$3.3KAvg50.4¢Current0¢6,544.64Shares
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 1 Winner
LGD Gaming · YesValue$0PnL−$5.5KAvg43.8¢Current0¢12,523.45Shares
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs
Power Rangers · YesValue$0PnL$0Avg0¢Current0¢11,121.18Shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner
Aurora GamingValue$0PnL−$2.4KAvg45¢Current0¢5,333.33Shares
Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs WRAITH PCIFIC - Map 2 Winner
WRAITH PCIFICValue$0PnL−$500Avg82.8¢Current0¢604.07Shares
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 1 Winner
ex-RUSTECValue$0PnL−$1KAvg52.6¢Current0¢1,902.87Shares
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner
Nigma GalaxyValue$0PnL−$4.6KAvg35¢Current0¢13,201.77Shares
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner
Team Spirit · NoValue$0PnL−$5.7KAvg41.7¢Current0¢13,605.1Shares
Showing 8 of 112 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet papuas: 33.7% win rate over 751 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +3.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −74.5%, n=294 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+3.9% over 294 fills); −$202.1K lifetime P&L, $9.7M traded, updated 2026-09-27.