PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x4570…1f38

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$6.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate44.6%65 settled · past 180 days0 open · 2 months ago
Lifetime volume$438.1K210 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded63Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+0.8% / $95% interval −35.7% to +37.2%10 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+0.8%n=10 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 44.6% · Decided 65 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$228
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
4
All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$0PnL−$0.08Avg81¢Current0¢0.1Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$0.21Avg64.5¢Current0¢0.32Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$146Avg37¢Current0¢395.92Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$81Avg29¢Current0¢278.86Shares
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x4570ac7749a164bc474aa00606d36885e6151f38: 44.6% win rate over 65 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +0.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −35.7%, n=10 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+0.8% over 10 fills); −$6.9K lifetime P&L, $438.1K traded, updated 2026-09-25.