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Trader profile

0x4520…9182

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$1.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet0 open · 15 days ago
Lifetime volume$198.2K406 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded179Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−17.1% / $95% interval −387.3% to +353.0%10 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−17.1%n=10 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 22 hours ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded8 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$11.7K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
51
Showing the largest 8 of 51
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$0PnL−$10Avg3.2¢Current0¢312.5Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$960Avg46.1¢Current0¢2,083.89Shares
Argentina · YesValue$0PnL−$378Avg46.1¢Current0¢818.39Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$1KAvg48¢Current0¢2,083.33Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$3KAvg72¢Current0¢4,180.56Shares
Germany · YesValue$0PnL−$1KAvg46¢Current0¢2,173.91Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$20Avg19¢Current0¢105.26Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$15Avg26¢Current0¢57.69Shares
Showing 8 of 51 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x4520aac15d53d7935662c6c470d8794625f09182: edge −17.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −387.3%, n=10 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−17.1% over 10 fills); −$1.3K lifetime P&L, $198.2K traded, updated 2026-09-27.