PolyTrace
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Trader profile

wbxxx

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$20.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate60.5%375 settled · past 180 days6 open · 15% underwater · 10 hours ago
Lifetime volume$4.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded582Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−29.4% / $95% interval −167.2% to +108.4%15 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−29.4%n=15 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 22 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 60.5% · Decided 375 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded10 hours ago
Current position value
$5.6K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$3.1K
Concentration
50.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
13
Showing the largest 8 of 13
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
YesValue$2.9KPnL+$78Avg27.7¢Current28.5¢10,040.9Shares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
YesValue$1.2KPnL−$81Avg19.7¢Current18.5¢6,645.77Shares
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
YesValue$718PnL+$387Avg15¢Current32.5¢2,208.86Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?
YesValue$444PnL+$36Avg15.2¢Current16.5¢2,692.5Shares
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)
YesValue$277PnL+$177Avg20.4¢Current56.5¢490Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
YesValue$107PnL−$37Avg4.8¢Current3.6¢3,000Shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
NoValue$0PnL−$49Avg68¢Current0¢71.97Shares
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven
Rico · NoValue$0PnL−$184Avg59.4¢Current0¢309.56Shares
Showing 8 of 13 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet wbxxx: 60.5% win rate over 375 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −29.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −167.2%, n=15 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−29.4% over 15 fills); +$20.8K lifetime P&L, $4.5M traded, updated 2026-09-27.