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Trader profile

OneColdShot

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$3.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet0 open · 22 days ago
Lifetime volume$113.6K237 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded51Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−16.1% / $95% interval −440.9% to +408.8%16 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−16.1%n=16 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 21 hours ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded6 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$16.1K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
14
Showing the largest 8 of 14
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$0PnL−$2.8KAvg49.7¢Current0¢5,618Shares
OverValue$0PnL−$1.8KAvg31.4¢Current0¢5,853Shares
Red Star FCValue$0PnL−$597Avg91.1¢Current0¢655Shares
SG Dynamo DresdenValue$0PnL−$881Avg96.4¢Current0¢914Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$875Avg49¢Current0¢1,786.1Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$1.3KAvg16.6¢Current0¢7,699.97Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$639Avg96¢Current0¢666Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$169Avg11¢Current0¢1,540Shares
Showing 8 of 14 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet OneColdShot: edge −16.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −440.9%, n=16 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−16.1% over 16 fills); −$3.5K lifetime P&L, $113.6K traded, updated 2026-09-27.