PolyTrace
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Trader profile

UntitledUser1

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$7.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…190 open · 68% underwater · 7 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded560Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+0.8% / $95% interval −184.9% to +186.6%78 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
+20.5%n=33 settled
Politics
−12.8%n=41 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 27 minutes ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded7 hours ago
Current position value
$74.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$11.9K
Concentration
14.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
276
Showing the largest 8 of 276
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
NoValue$10.8KPnL+$807Avg81.9¢Current88.5¢12,181.1Shares
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
NoValue$6.3KPnL+$303Avg89¢Current93.5¢6,741.57Shares
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$5KPnL+$37Avg91.8¢Current92.5¢5,434.78Shares
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?
NoValue$4.1KPnL−$912Avg96¢Current78.6¢5,225.93Shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$3.2KPnL+$2Avg99.2¢Current99.3¢3,216.86Shares
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
YesValue$3.1KPnL−$1.6KAvg9.4¢Current6.3¢49,695.7Shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YesValue$2.2KPnL+$83Avg89¢Current92.5¢2,362.96Shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$2.2KPnL−$501Avg86.8¢Current70.5¢3,073.2Shares
Showing 8 of 276 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet UntitledUser1: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge +0.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −184.9%, n=78 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (+20.5% over 33 fills); +$7.5K lifetime P&L, $1.2M traded, updated 2026-09-23.