PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x4351…d615

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$2.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Trade history could not be loaded1 open · 0% underwater · 18 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$988.6K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded4,429Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−76.9% / $95% interval −369.7% to +215.9%50 settled fills · 90d window
Crypto
−76.9%n=50 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Settled-position history could not be loaded.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Top 5,000
Complete18 minutes ago

This snapshot reached the 5,000-position product limit. Showing up to 5,000 positions by size.

Current position value
$157
Based on Top 5,000 positions
Snapshot cash PnL
−$51.1K
Based on Top 5,000 positions
Concentration
99.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
5,000
Showing the largest 8 of 5,000
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
Down · NoValue$157PnL+$142Avg1¢Current10.5¢1,494Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Up · YesValue$0.12PnL−$14Avg5.8¢Current0.1¢238.34Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
Down · NoValue$0.03PnL−$6Avg11¢Current0.1¢54.73Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
Down · NoValue$0.03PnL−$23Avg40.7¢Current0.1¢55.96Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
Down · NoValue$0.02PnL−$6Avg18¢Current0.1¢31.5Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
Up · YesValue$0.02PnL−$19Avg39¢Current0.1¢47.73Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
Down · NoValue$0.01PnL−$5Avg22¢Current0.1¢23.86Shares
Ethereum Up or Down - August 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
DownValue$0PnL−$11Avg30¢Current0¢35Shares
Showing 8 of 5,000 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x4351519018350af92e6d72f0a9146f765c67d615: edge −76.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −369.7%, n=50 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Crypto (−76.9% over 50 fills); −$2.7K lifetime P&L, $988.6K traded, updated 2026-09-24.