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Trader profile

M888

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$254.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate58%131 settled · past 90 days47 open · 51% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$11.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded790Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+165.5% / $95% interval −289.5% to +620.6%16 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+187.9%n=12 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 19 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 58% · Decided 131 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$219.5K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$7.4K
Concentration
72%
Largest share of value
Positions
51
Showing the largest 8 of 51
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$158.1KPnL+$58.1KAvg50¢Current79.1¢200,000Shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$41.9KPnL−$58.1KAvg50¢Current21¢200,000Shares
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
NoValue$2.1KPnL+$519Avg68.2¢Current90¢2,376.87Shares
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
NoValue$2.1KPnL+$51Avg93.1¢Current95.5¢2,182.33Shares
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
YesValue$2.1KPnL+$50Avg92.8¢Current95.2¢2,169.35Shares
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in September 2026?
NoValue$1.7KPnL+$181Avg88.4¢Current99.3¢1,672.54Shares
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
YesValue$1.5KPnL+$921Avg3¢Current7.5¢20,459.99Shares
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
YesValue$1.4KPnL+$756Avg3¢Current6.4¢22,222Shares
Showing 8 of 51 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet M888: 58% win rate over 131 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +165.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −289.5%, n=16 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+187.9% over 12 fills); +$254.2K lifetime P&L, $11.2M traded, updated 2026-09-27.