PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

jason11250

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$508Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate38.3%1,057 settled · past 180 days6 open · 100% underwater · 17 hours ago
Lifetime volume$6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded620Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+8.1% / $95% interval −128.5% to +144.7%56 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+9.6%n=55 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 19 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 38.3% · Decided 1,057 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded17 hours ago
Current position value
$1
Snapshot cash PnL
−$5.5K
Concentration
37.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
325
Showing the largest 8 of 325
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 27?
YesValue$0.41PnL−$119Avg14.7¢Current0.1¢815.79Shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 27?
YesValue$0.19PnL−$13Avg3.3¢Current0.1¢386.81Shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 25?
YesValue$0.15PnL−$23Avg7.8¢Current0.1¢293.7Shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 27?
YesValue$0.15PnL−$13Avg4.3¢Current0.1¢300.07Shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 25?
YesValue$0.11PnL−$33Avg15¢Current0.1¢223.02Shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 25?
YesValue$0.08PnL−$3Avg2¢Current0.1¢168.21Shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 9?
YesValue$0PnL−$19Avg9.5¢Current0¢200Shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 17?
YesValue$0PnL−$18Avg4.5¢Current0¢399.99Shares
Showing 8 of 325 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet jason11250: 38.3% win rate over 1,057 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +8.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −128.5%, n=56 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+9.6% over 55 fills); −$508 lifetime P&L, $6M traded, updated 2026-09-27.