PolyTrace
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Trader profile

TRCM

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$488.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate53.1%6,023 settled · past 90 days12 open · 77% underwater · 2 hours ago
Lifetime volume$43M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded2,637Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+10.3% / $95% interval −13.1% to +33.8%2,272 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+10.3%n=2,272 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 7 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 53.1% · Decided 6,023 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 hours ago
Current position value
$6.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$277.2K
Concentration
78.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
717
Showing the largest 8 of 717
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Seville: Inaki Montes vs Raul Brancaccio
Raul Brancaccio · NoValue$5KPnL−$100Avg51¢Current50¢10,000Shares
Tolentino: Alice Tubello vs Julia Grabher
Alice Tubello · YesValue$590PnL+$225Avg43¢Current69.5¢849Shares
Plovdiv 4: Ivan Ivanov vs Adrian Andreev
Adrian Andreev · NoValue$328PnL+$3Avg49¢Current49.5¢663.45Shares
Chengdu Open: Juncheng Shang vs Adrian Mannarino
Adrian Mannarino · NoValue$158PnL+$85Avg46.5¢Current100¢158.21Shares
Plovdiv 4: Izan Almazan Valiente vs Maxim Mrva
Maxim Mrva · NoValue$111PnL−$217Avg54.7¢Current18.5¢600.1Shares
Hangzhou Open: Fajing Sun vs Roman Safiullin
Roman Safiullin · NoValue$89PnL+$20Avg78¢Current99.9¢89.1Shares
Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Shintaro Mochizuki
Martin Damm · YesValue$43PnL+$11Avg65¢Current86.5¢50Shares
Genoa 2: Raul Brancaccio vs Mika Petkovic
Raul BrancaccioValue$12PnL+$0.32Avg57¢Current58.5¢21.26Shares
Showing 8 of 717 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet TRCM: 53.1% win rate over 6,023 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +10.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −13.1%, n=2,272 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+10.3% over 2,272 fills); +$488.8K lifetime P&L, $43M traded, updated 2026-09-24.