PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x4247…91c4

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$487.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate33.4%2,252 settled · past 90 days200 open · 97% underwater · 4 hours ago
Lifetime volume$18.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded3,490Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−21.4% / $95% interval −204.4% to +161.6%180 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−22.4%n=154 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 22 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 33.4% · Decided 2,252 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 hours ago
Current position value
$8.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$40.5K
Concentration
20.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
220
Showing the largest 8 of 220
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
YesValue$1.7KPnL−$15.8KAvg75.3¢Current7.5¢23,332.41Shares
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
YesValue$1.4KPnL−$23.2KAvg35.9¢Current2.1¢68,515.84Shares
Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty
Atlanta Dream · YesValue$1KPnL+$1KAvg0¢Current60.5¢1,694.34Shares
Will Indiana Fever win the 2026 WNBA Finals?
NoValue$733PnL−$8Avg91¢Current90¢814.6Shares
Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?
YesValue$239PnL−$1.1KAvg32.3¢Current5.9¢4,043.52Shares
Will Valérie Hamel win the next Côte-du-Sud Quebec National Assembly election?
YesValue$205PnL+$24Avg36.2¢Current41¢499.03Shares
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
YesValue$163PnL+$89Avg42.7¢Current93.6¢174.17Shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
NoValue$139PnL−$0.98Avg71¢Current70.5¢196.45Shares
Showing 8 of 220 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x42477970683d4d0a52ec7082fee5d760cc5591c4: 33.4% win rate over 2,252 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −21.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −204.4%, n=180 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−22.4% over 154 fills); −$487.9K lifetime P&L, $18.7M traded, updated 2026-09-24.