PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x4245…62eb

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$971Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate52%102 settled · past 180 days0 open · 7 days ago
Lifetime volume$183.5K477 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded106Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−27.6% / $95% interval −747.7% to +692.6%35 settled fills · 90d window
Crypto
−27.6%n=35 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 18 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 52% · Decided 102 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded16 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1.2K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
25
Showing the largest 8 of 25
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Alba BerlinValue$0PnL−$35Avg35¢Current0¢100Shares
FC Bayern MunchenValue$0PnL−$89Avg29.7¢Current0¢299.99Shares
ValenciaValue$0PnL−$28Avg28¢Current0¢99.98Shares
FenerbahceValue$0PnL−$169Avg56.3¢Current0¢299.99Shares
FenerbahceValue$0PnL−$28Avg63¢Current0¢43.79Shares
Virtus BolognaValue$0PnL−$14Avg54¢Current0¢26.32Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$1Avg52.5¢Current0¢1.9Shares
Saski BaskoniaValue$0PnL−$50Avg25¢Current0¢200Shares
Showing 8 of 25 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x424520ac7407fecb0281dcc800dfb61318c862eb: 52% win rate over 102 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −27.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −747.7%, n=35 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Crypto (−27.6% over 35 fills); −$971 lifetime P&L, $183.5K traded, updated 2026-09-27.