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Trader profile

StormyCake

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$10.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate56%25 settled · past 180 days0 open · 20 days ago
Lifetime volume$186.8K372 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded25Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−22.4% / $95% interval −44.0% to −0.9%12 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−22.4%n=12 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 18 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 56% · Decided 25 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$31.1K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
9
Showing the largest 8 of 9
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)
Gen.G · YesValue$0PnL−$2.7KAvg38.9¢Current0¢6,819.97Shares
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
EDward Gaming · YesValue$0PnL−$3KAvg26¢Current0¢11,539.93Shares
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner
Dplus KIA · NoValue$0PnL−$2.9KAvg42¢Current0¢6,999.96Shares
LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage
T1 · YesValue$0PnL−$3KAvg75¢Current0¢4,000Shares
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
Hanwha Life Esports · YesValue$0PnL−$2KAvg36¢Current0¢5,555Shares
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)
Hanwha Life Esports · YesValue$0PnL−$2KAvg39¢Current0¢5,200Shares
LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
ThunderTalk Gaming · NoValue$0PnL−$3KAvg25¢Current0¢11,999.98Shares
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
ThunderTalk Gaming · YesValue$0PnL−$10.1KAvg61.9¢Current0¢16,381.6Shares
Showing 8 of 9 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet StormyCake: 56% win rate over 25 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −22.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −44.0%, n=12 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−22.4% over 12 fills); −$10.2K lifetime P&L, $186.8K traded, updated 2026-09-25.