PolyTrace
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Trader profile

value77

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$286Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet2 open · 100% underwater · 16 hours ago
Lifetime volume$382.4K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded9,162Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−51.0% / $95% interval −768.8% to +666.7%25 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−51.0%n=25 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 3 hours ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded16 hours ago
Current position value
$8
Snapshot cash PnL
−$31.3K
Concentration
99.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
4,469
Showing the largest 8 of 4,469
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Buenos Aires 2: Murkel Dellien vs Juan Pablo Varillas
Murkel Dellien · YesValue$8PnL−$6Avg10¢Current5.5¢143.5Shares
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Lorenzo Angelini vs Matteo Sciahbasi
Lorenzo Angelini · YesValue$0.03PnL−$3Avg4¢Current0.1¢66.75Shares
Milan: Francesco Passaro vs Enrico Dalla Valle
Francesco Passaro · YesValue$0PnL−$3Avg34.1¢Current0¢8.8Shares
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Group A
ex-MANA eSports · NoValue$0PnL−$5Avg18¢Current0¢27.78Shares
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs
Invictus Gaming · NoValue$0PnL−$14Avg10¢Current0¢143.5Shares
Cincinnati Open: Cameron Norrie vs Dino Prizmic
Dino Prizmic · NoValue$0PnL−$5Avg46¢Current0¢10.87Shares
ITF W35 Krakow Women: Anna Kmiecik vs Gina Marie Dittmann
Gina Marie Dittmann · NoValue$0PnL−$5Avg56¢Current0¢8.73Shares
Quito: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Hernan Casanova
Felipe Meligeni Alves · YesValue$0PnL−$3Avg39¢Current0¢7.69Shares
Showing 8 of 4,469 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet value77: edge −51.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −768.8%, n=25 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−51.0% over 25 fills); +$286 lifetime P&L, $382.4K traded, updated 2026-09-23.