PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x4197…d9c3

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$765Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate33.7%98 settled · past 180 days0 open · 7 days ago
Lifetime volume$46.4K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded86Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 33.7% · Decided 98 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$15
Snapshot cash PnL
−$614
Concentration
34%
Largest share of value
Positions
10
Showing the largest 8 of 10
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will London have between 20-30mm of precipitation in March?
YesValue$5PnL+$1Avg76¢Current100¢5Shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 30?
NoValue$5PnL+$0.75Avg85¢Current100¢5Shares
Will Seoul have 60mm or more of precipitation in March?
NoValue$5PnL+$1Avg71¢Current100¢4.71Shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$282Avg23.2¢Current0¢1,215.49Shares
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on April 2?
YesValue$0PnL−$0.92Avg10¢Current0¢9.18Shares
Will Hong Kong have between 150-160mm of precipitation in March?
NoValue$0PnL−$3Avg32¢Current0¢10Shares
Will Russell T. Vought be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
YesValue$0PnL−$0.68Avg1¢Current0¢67.75Shares
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on April 7?
YesValue$0PnL−$329Avg10¢Current0¢3,285.61Shares
Showing 8 of 10 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

No whale trades recorded for this wallet in the tracked window.

About this wallet

Wallet 0x419795a795cbafe1430e81aa68f893deb8e3d9c3: 33.7% win rate over 98 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); −$765 lifetime P&L, $46.4K traded, updated 2026-09-26.