PolyTrace
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Trader profile

LSB1

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$44.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate84.2%3,725 settled · past 180 days5 open · 64% underwater · 2 hours ago
Lifetime volume$3.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded5,764Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+34.1% / $95% interval −55.4% to +123.6%275 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+35.2%n=266 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 16 minutes ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 84.2% · Decided 3,725 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 hours ago
Current position value
$211
Snapshot cash PnL
−$36.4K
Concentration
41.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
39
Showing the largest 8 of 39
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$87PnL+$18Avg79.7¢Current100¢87.3Shares
NoValue$76PnL+$6Avg91.5¢Current100¢76Shares
OverValue$43PnL−$38Avg94.9¢Current50¢85Shares
YesValue$3PnL−$2Avg98¢Current50¢5Shares
NoValue$3PnL−$2Avg98¢Current50¢5Shares
OverValue$0.47PnL+$0.04Avg92¢Current100¢0.47Shares
NoValue$0.28PnL+$0.02Avg93¢Current100¢0.28Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$2Avg54¢Current3Shares
Showing 8 of 39 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet LSB1: 84.2% win rate over 3,725 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +34.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −55.4%, n=275 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+35.2% over 266 fills); +$44.9K lifetime P&L, $3.3M traded, updated 2026-09-24.