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Trader profile

acfc8

Market makers

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$284.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…0 open · 7 days ago
Lifetime volume$5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded311Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−27.4% / $95% interval −68.8% to +14.1%247 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−27.4%n=247 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 16 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded12 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$330.4K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
186
Showing the largest 8 of 186
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$0PnL−$300Avg15¢Current0¢1,999.98Shares
OverValue$0PnL−$1.7KAvg43¢Current0¢3,999.85Shares
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$73Avg6.7¢Current0¢1,075.94Shares
OverValue$0PnL−$690Avg23¢Current0¢2,999.98Shares
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$2.1KAvg43.5¢Current0¢4,856.41Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$296Avg7¢Current0¢4,225.75Shares
Under · NoValue$0PnL−$2.1KAvg35¢Current0¢5,977.05Shares
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$1.1KAvg39¢Current0¢2,914.78Shares
Showing 8 of 186 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet acfc8: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −27.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −68.8%, n=247 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−27.4% over 247 fills); −$284.3K lifetime P&L, $5M traded, updated 2026-09-27.