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Trader profile

Adventure142

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$2.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate48%5,440 settled · past 180 days25 open · 31% underwater · 5 hours ago
Lifetime volume$548.7K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded2,520Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−6.5% / $95% interval −211.1% to +198.0%20 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
−3.8%n=16 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 16 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 48% · Decided 5,440 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded5 hours ago
Current position value
$4.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$13.6K
Concentration
21.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
1,306
Showing the largest 8 of 1,306
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% in September?
NoValue$885PnL+$199Avg77.1¢Current99.4¢889.9Shares
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?
NoValue$441PnL+$93Avg58¢Current73.5¢600Shares
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.12% in September?
NoValue$395PnL+$150Avg60.9¢Current98.3¢401.84Shares
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% in September?
YesValue$336PnL−$148Avg88.1¢Current61.2¢550Shares
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% in September?
NoValue$305PnL+$30Avg89¢Current98.9¢308.83Shares
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.09% in September?
NoValue$295PnL+$95Avg67¢Current98.8¢298.51Shares
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.20% in September?
YesValue$278PnL+$2Avg76.1¢Current76.5¢363.02Shares
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% in September?
NoValue$240PnL−$40Avg77¢Current66¢362.89Shares
Showing 8 of 1,306 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Adventure142: 48% win rate over 5,440 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −6.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −211.1%, n=20 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (−3.8% over 16 fills); −$2.1K lifetime P&L, $548.7K traded, updated 2026-09-27.