Last loaded21 hours ago
- Current position value
- $677
- Snapshot cash PnL
- −$2.8K
- Concentration
- 74.4% Largest share of value
- Positions
- 2 All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$503PnL−$2KAvg37¢Current7.5¢6,712.11Shares
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Trader profile
notgoodluck
DirectionalHistorical record
Loss-making historically.
Lifetime PnL−$157.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate62.6%163 settled · past 90 days2 open · 100% underwater · 21 hours ago
Lifetime volume$4.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded384Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price
How this is computedProfit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.
−9.0% / $95% interval −21.7% to +3.6%170 settled fills · 90d window
- Politics
- +6.3%n=16 settled
- Sports
- −9.2%n=144 settled
A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.
Measured 16 hours ago
How this record is measured
Win rate 62.6% · Decided 163 · 90d
Observed activity
Where and how this wallet trades
Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.
No category data for this wallet.
No tracked trading behavior yet.
Current holdings
Sources
Holdings use the current Polymarket portfolio snapshot.
Results by category
Sources
Category results use decided positions from the last 90 days.
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…
Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.
Recent activity
Whale activity over 30 days
Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.
Loading tracked activity…
Large trades
Recent large trades
Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations
no result — Market settled — no result snapshot for this wallet yet.
$1.2K✗ lost — Market settled and this position lost.
$6.7K✗ lost — Market settled and this position lost.
$8Kno result — Market settled — no result snapshot for this wallet yet.
$1.3K✗ lost — Market settled and this position lost.
$6KAdd
About this wallet
Wallet notgoodluck: 62.6% win rate over 163 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −9.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −21.7%, n=170 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+6.3% over 16 fills); −$157.2K lifetime P&L, $4.7M traded, updated 2026-09-27.