PolyTrace
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Trader profile

afdafdafdafdafd

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$95.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate87.3%71 settled · past 90 days29 open · 1% underwater · 21 hours ago
Lifetime volume$6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded314Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−5.5% / $95% interval −112.6% to +101.5%108 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+1.0%n=16 settled
Politics
−2.3%n=62 settled
Crypto
−12.4%n=28 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 87.3% · Decided 71 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded21 hours ago
Current position value
$828.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$11.8K
Concentration
13.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
31
Showing the largest 8 of 31
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
NoValue$113.1KPnL+$5.7KAvg88.8¢Current93.5¢120,930.06Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
NoValue$109.3KPnL+$365Avg99¢Current99.4¢109,999.98Shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
NoValue$95KPnL+$1KAvg98.5¢Current99.7¢95,337.15Shares
Trump out as President before 2027?
NoValue$64.3KPnL+$5.5KAvg86.4¢Current94.5¢67,999.96Shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$50.3KPnL+$3.4KAvg89.3¢Current95.9¢52,527.22Shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
NoValue$48.9KPnL−$77Avg96.1¢Current96¢50,934.56Shares
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
NoValue$48KPnL+$5.9KAvg86.4¢Current98.5¢48,737.87Shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
NoValue$46.7KPnL+$439Avg98.7¢Current99.7¢46,842.28Shares
Showing 8 of 31 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet afdafdafdafdafd: 87.3% win rate over 71 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −5.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −112.6%, n=108 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+1.0% over 16 fills); −$95.5K lifetime P&L, $6M traded, updated 2026-09-23.