PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x40fe…3bfd

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$3.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet44 open · 91% underwater · 6 days ago
Lifetime volume$387.1K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded476Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded6 days ago
Current position value
$1.6K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$967
Concentration
32.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
61
Showing the largest 8 of 61
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
YesValue$531PnL+$31Avg88¢Current93.5¢568.19Shares
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
NoValue$324PnL+$24Avg89.3¢Current96.3¢336.07Shares
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
YesValue$94PnL+$6Avg80¢Current85.5¢110Shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
YesValue$90PnL+$0.08Avg70.4¢Current70.5¢127.78Shares
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
NoValue$90PnL+$9Avg73¢Current81.5¢110Shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
NoValue$68PnL−$47Avg41.5¢Current24.5¢276.81Shares
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
YesValue$63PnL+$6Avg71¢Current78.5¢80Shares
Will Marc Marquez win the 2026 MotoGP World Championship?
YesValue$41PnL−$2Avg74¢Current70.5¢58.37Shares
Showing 8 of 61 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x40fe57965a53d6efde2c678b8b442bb76c3a3bfd: edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); −$3.5K lifetime P&L, $387.1K traded, updated 2026-09-21.