PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x40db…ca8c

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$629Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate72.2%1,552 settled · past 180 days5 open · 5% underwater · 35 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$2.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,874Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−18.9% / $95% interval −278.6% to +240.7%123 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−17.6%n=117 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 72.2% · Decided 1,552 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete35 minutes ago
Current position value
$4.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$151.1K
Concentration
38.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
236
Showing the largest 8 of 236
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winner
Xtreme Gaming · YesValue$1.7KPnL+$785Avg52.8¢Current100¢1,664.72Shares
Dota 2: Dawn Bulls vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - European Pro League Group A
Nemiga Gaming · NoValue$1.3KPnL+$255Avg40.6¢Current50.5¢2,565.18Shares
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Over · YesValue$627PnL+$131Avg39.2¢Current49.5¢1,266.32Shares
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
Xtreme Gaming · YesValue$581PnL+$157Avg73¢Current100¢581.27Shares
Game Handicap: Dawn Bulls (-1.5) vs Nemiga Gaming (+1.5)
Nemiga Gaming · NoValue$136PnL−$66Avg40¢Current27¢505Shares
Dota 2: BALU vs Habibis (BO3) - European Pro League Group B
Habibis · NoValue$0PnL−$34Avg35.2¢Current0¢97.28Shares
Dota 2: summer bear vs Hive - Game 1 Winner
Hive · NoValue$0PnL−$379Avg39¢Current0¢972Shares
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner
LGD Gaming · YesValue$0PnL−$716Avg39¢Current0¢1,835.4Shares
Showing 8 of 236 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x40db60f96894e44b9f0ea967021452280a12ca8c: 72.2% win rate over 1,552 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −18.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −278.6%, n=123 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−17.6% over 117 fills); −$629 lifetime P&L, $2.3M traded, updated 2026-09-24.