PolyTrace
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Trader profile

whig

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$296.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate62.5%264 settled · past 90 days68 open · 28% underwater · 1 hour ago
Lifetime volume$8M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded526Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+15.6% / $95% interval −79.1% to +110.2%104 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+21.7%n=81 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 62.5% · Decided 264 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 hour ago
Current position value
$187.8K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$19K
Concentration
12.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
68
Showing the largest 8 of 68
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$24KPnL+$2.4KAvg86.3¢Current96¢24,999.99Shares
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$18.8KPnL+$150Avg93.2¢Current94¢19,999.99Shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$17.5KPnL+$6.5KAvg50¢Current79.4¢22,000Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NoValue$11KPnL+$3.7KAvg52.1¢Current78.5¢13,999.89Shares
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$9.6KPnL+$1.1KAvg85.6¢Current96.3¢10,000Shares
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
NoValue$8.2KPnL+$528Avg87.2¢Current93.3¢8,745.3Shares
Will Anders Öberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten?
YesValue$8KPnL+$61Avg93.8¢Current94.5¢8,488.28Shares
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?
NoValue$6.2KPnL+$5.3KAvg14.3¢Current95.6¢6,487.62Shares
Showing 8 of 68 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet whig: 62.5% win rate over 264 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +15.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −79.1%, n=104 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+21.7% over 81 fills); +$296.9K lifetime P&L, $8M traded, updated 2026-09-24.