PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

0x4064…5f1e

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$33.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…0 open · 7 days ago
Lifetime volume$1.8M731 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded390Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−3.9% / $95% interval −143.2% to +135.3%85 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−3.9%n=85 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 16 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded14 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$201.7K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
221
Showing the largest 8 of 221
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)
Chelsea FCValue$0PnL−$300Avg38¢Current0¢789.47Shares
Roland Garros WTA: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Elsa Jacquemot
Linda Fruhvirtova · YesValue$0PnL−$1KAvg20.9¢Current0¢4,777.5Shares
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Hailey Baptiste
SamsonovaValue$0PnL−$337Avg50¢Current0¢674Shares
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Jil Teichmann vs Petra Marcinko
Jil Teichmann · YesValue$0PnL−$677Avg7¢Current0¢9,625.89Shares
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Elisabetta Cocciaretto · NoValue$0PnL−$22Avg45¢Current0¢48.31Shares
Spread: Spain (-1.5)
Spain · YesValue$0PnL−$299Avg27¢Current0¢1,107.56Shares
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jasmine Paolini vs Leolia Jeanjean
Leolia Jeanjean · NoValue$0PnL−$230Avg28.7¢Current0¢802.53Shares
Foggia: Chloe Paquet vs Nika Radisic
Nika Radisic · NoValue$0PnL−$600Avg15¢Current0¢4,000Shares
Showing 8 of 221 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x406425a9306360f33784bd51ea5e521f54b95f1e: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −3.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −143.2%, n=85 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−3.9% over 85 fills); −$33.5K lifetime P&L, $1.8M traded, updated 2026-09-27.